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21 June
CarMax Q1 Stock Earnings: Cautious Outlook, Long-Term Growth

CarMax (NYSE: KMX) is the largest used-car retailer in the United States. CarMax’s earnings report for the first quarter of the fiscal year 2025 was released, painting a picture of resilience despite a dynamic and challenging automotive sector. The company, known for its vast inventory, customer-centric approach, and transparent pricing model, continues to adapt its strategies to navigate the used car industry's headwinds. With a complex economic backdrop for the automotive industry, how are these headwinds reshaping the used car landscape?

CarMax Faces Economic Headwinds in the Used Car Market

The used car market is grappling with multiple factors dampening consumer demand and pressured retail sales. Inflationary pressures continue to squeeze household budgets while rising interest rates have significantly increased the cost of financing a vehicle purchase. These economic headwinds are compounded by tighter lending standards, making it more difficult for some consumers to secure auto loans from the finance sector. Furthermore, increased incentives and improving availability in the new car market have presented compelling alternatives for potential used car buyers. CarMax's financial performance for Q1 2025 reflects these challenging dynamics, as evidenced by declining sales figures and subdued revenue growth.

CarMax’s Dynamic Quarter

CarMax reported a total revenue of $7.11 billion, reflecting a 7.5% decline compared to the same period last year. This decrease aligns with CarMax’s analyst community’s expectations, indicating a market still adjusting to evolving economic pressure. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.97, down from $1.44 in the prior year's first quarter. The decline in EPS was primarily attributed to the absence of a one-time legal settlement benefit that bolstered earnings in the year-ago period.

Retail used unit sales, a key performance indicator for CarMax, decreased by 3.1% year-over-year, totaling 211,132 units. Wholesale unit sales, representing vehicles sold at auctions, also experienced a decline, dropping by 8.3% year-over-year to 147,685 units. This decline in wholesale sales can be partially attributed to lower seasonal appreciation than the previous year.

Despite the overall decline in sales, CarMax demonstrated operational efficiency by maintaining a solid gross profit margin of 11.1%. This achievement reflects the company's ability to optimize pricing strategies and effectively manage inventory costs in a fluctuating market. The gross profit per retail used unit remained stable at $2,347, which aligns with the prior year.

CarMax's Strategic Initiatives for Long-Term Growth

In response to the evolving market dynamics, CarMax has implemented several strategic initiatives to bolster its position and drive long-term growth. The company has intensified its focus on cost management, streamlining operations to protect profitability despite declining sales volumes. This approach includes carefully evaluating marketing expenditures, optimizing staffing levels, and scrutinizing discretionary spending.

Recognizing the need to diversify its inventory sourcing, CarMax has strategically shifted towards purchasing more vehicles from dealers rather than relying solely on consumer trade-ins. This strategic move provides the company with greater flexibility to acquire vehicles at potentially more favorable prices, mitigating the impact of lower consumer trade-in volumes.

Furthermore, CarMax has expanded its asset-backed securitization program, a move designed to enhance finance income generation and support the growth of CarMax Auto Finance (CAF), its in-house financing arm. This expansion allows CarMax to leverage its loan portfolio efficiently, creating additional funding capacity and driving incremental revenue streams.

CarMax repurchased over $100 million of its stock during the first quarter, demonstrating a commitment to delivering shareholder value. This action reduced the number of outstanding shares, potentially enhancing earnings per share and signaling confidence in the company's long-term prospects.

CarMax CEO's Perspective and Long-Term Vision

CarMax CEO Bill Nash expressed cautious optimism regarding the company's future, acknowledging the current market challenges while highlighting emerging positive trends. Nash pointed to consistently declining used car prices, improvements in vehicle value stability, and signs of growing demand at the top of the sales funnel as encouraging indicators for the industry's eventual recovery.

He emphasized that CarMax's customer-centric approach, omnichannel capabilities, and financial health uniquely position the company to capitalize on these positive trends as the market rebounds. Nash also reiterated CarMax's commitment to its long-term growth strategy, which focuses on expanding its physical footprint, enhancing its digital capabilities, and leveraging data analytics to personalize the customer experience further and optimize operations.

CarMax's Q1 2025 earnings reflect its ability to navigate a turbulent used car market by prioritizing operational efficiency, adapting sourcing strategies, and strengthening its financial foundation. While the current macroeconomic environment presents challenges, CarMax's strong brand recognition, nationwide reach, and strategic initiatives provide a solid foundation for long-term growth. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to maintain strong margins, effectively implement its inventory sourcing shift, and capitalize on the eventual recovery of the used car market.

The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.